FORECAST ON THE CASPIAN SEA LEVEL AND ITS EFFECTS ON THE COASTAL TERRITORY
https://doi.org/10.18470/1992-1098-2015-4-119-126
Abstract
The aim is to assess the dynamics of the Caspian Sea and its impacts on coastal areas as well as to develop recommendations for economic activity in a highly unstable position of the coastline.
Methods. Based on the analysis of scientific sources and our own data on the dynamics of the Caspian Sea, are discussed the possible causes of the unstable regime of the sea level and its impacts on the ecological system of the coastal areas.
Results. One of the problems of the Caspian Sea is the problem of sea-level change and predicting such changes. The analysis shows that the level of the Caspian Sea will continue to experience long-term (including thirty-year and secular) fluctuations in the range of absolute marks minus 26 to minus 33 m, which is close to the shoreline as in 1977.
Conclusions. We find it possible to prevent the negative effects of level fluctuations, preserve biodiversity and biological resources of the Caspian Sea on condition that during the economic activities in the zone off the coast we take into account possible changes in the natural conditions of the coastal zone at risk from -20 to -34 meters of true altitude, i.e. elevations within which the sea water level will fluctuate.
About the Authors
S. A. Guseinova
Dagestan State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
candidate of biological sciences, Professor, Honored Worker of Higher Education of the Republic of Dagestan, Head of the sub department of Life Safety,
367025, 43 M.Gadzhieva st., Makhachkala
A. S. Abdusamadov
Dagestan branch of federal state budgetary scientific institution "Caspian Research Institute of Fisheries"
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Doctor of Biological Sciences, director, Honored Worker of Fisheries of the Russian Federation,
367022, Makhachkala, 104 Abubakarova st.
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Review
For citations:
Guseinova S.A., Abdusamadov A.S. FORECAST ON THE CASPIAN SEA LEVEL AND ITS EFFECTS ON THE COASTAL TERRITORY. South of Russia: ecology, development. 2015;10(4):119-126. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18470/1992-1098-2015-4-119-126
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